Chance of tropical cyclone development in Gulf now 90 percent, forecasters say

Folks along the Central Gulf coast should monitor this system carefully, because the Louisiana and MS coastlines are near the area hatched out by the National Hurricane Center. Current satellite imagery continues to show robust but disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity in association with Invest 93.

As of Saturday afternoon we are still watching a broad area of unorganized showers in the Gulf of Honduras.

The National Hurricane Center predicts that there is a 70 percent chance for some sort of tropical development in the Gulf of Mexico by the middle of next week.

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At the very least, Lacy said, the waters along the Mississippi Coast could see increased winds, increased seas and above-normal tides if the system makes its way into the northern Gulf of Mexico. However, conditions are favorable for development as it continues to move into the Gulf, and another hurricane hunter flight is scheduled to investigate the system on Monday, if necessary.

Hurricane hunters were originally scheduled to investigate Sunday, but as satellite did not show much change and the National Hurricane Center made a decision to cancel the flights.

NWS expects continued gradual development in the area as the system moves slowly northwest across Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula over the remainder of the weekend. Other global forecast models forecast the wave to miss the trough allowing steering to be controlled by a strong upper high over the SW U.S. which takes the wave much more to the west. It will be the second for the year, however, coming after Tropical Storm Arlene formed over the central Atlantic Ocean in April. This system is forecast to move to the west-northwest at near 20 miles per hour toward the Windward Islands and northeastern South America during the next two days. The hurricane center has no record of any storm forming that far to the east at this point in June.

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